Author Archives: admin

States’ Rights: Time To Join The Bush Assault On Federalism?

Now that the Bush administration has failed to prevent Congress from passing an expansion of the Child Health Insurance Program (CHIP), Bush has decided to pursue his agenda through executive order instead. The new plan is to forbid states, which have been at the forefront of expanding the program beyond the ranks of the absolute poor, to cover families above 200% of the poverty line, unless they have covered 95% of families below that level. As of today, no state has achieved this kind of coverage through CHIP.

This new Bush strategy brings up a number of important issues. In the first place, and as I have written before, we do face a tragedy across the country of eligible families failing to enroll their children. Since the average enrollment across states for eligible children is somewhere between 70 and 80%, a non-negligible number of poor kids continue to go without insurance, even though we have decided as a society to provide it to them. There is no question that something should be done about this, and that “something” could include incentives to get states to be more creative about enrollment.

The second point is that it is reasonable to ask whether a government program to provide health insurance to children should be a universal entitlement or not. Should we only provide health care to poor kids, or do we as a society believe that all kids have a right to health insurance, guaranteed by the government (though not for free; non-poor enrollees do pay premiums)? Certainly, the latter view motivates the expansion of CHIP in a place like New York to families at 400% of the poverty line. In this sense, the Bush administration is correct to pose expansions of CHIP in ideological terms: it really is about what we believe the government’s role should be in ensuring health care for American children.

It is ironic, however, that the Bush administration is effectively threatening to undermine the capacity of states to decide for themselves who deserves health insurance coverage. After all, conservatives are usually the ones pushing “states’ rights” and arguing for “subsidiarity,” the idea that people at the local level know what’s best. But it turns out that when the states’ view of what’s best is different from the president’s, he would prefer to centralize.

This is a tendency that liberals should support. The biggest problem with the American healthcare system is its severe degree of decentralization. Ultimately, the decision to set the true poverty line at 100, 200, 300, or even 400% of the federal line, is an arbitrary one, and we can agree to disagree about the exact cut off. We should not allow, however, the basic right to health care to be arbitrarily granted to citizens in some states, but not in others.

That, however, is exactly what we currently do. Contrary to popular belief, there is no national program which guarantees health care to the poor. Medicaid does not do this, because eligibility rules vary by state. In many states, just being poor is not enough to qualify for Medicaid. You must be both poor, and meet other restrictive criteria. Nor do we have a single HIV policy for the poor in America. Depending on your state of residence, you may have to wait years for ARV treatment. And CHIP only covers some kids, some of the time, in some places, leaving others, depending on the state, without any coverage at all.

In the case of CHIP, the fact is that the states have failed to enroll all of their eligible children, even though the federal government is footing a large part of the bill. What will it take to get the missing kids into CHIP? I doubt anyone can answer this question definitively. One reasonable hypothesis, however, is that the solution is a national program, backed by strong federal will, and a single, visible manager. The president’s plan, by contrast, relies on the current (broken) system to reform itself. It would simply prohibit states from doing anything new until they fix their current problems. But, in the decentralized health system we have, this will just create another theater for political gamesmanship. The feds can blame the states for not enrolling poor kids, and the states can blame the feds for prohibiting them from enrolling the near-poor. Meanwhile, nobody gets health care. An all-out effort to find and enroll children, coordinated at the national level under a single leader, would be more likely to create accountability and yield results.

The president’s strategy presents supporters of a universal guarantee of health care for children with a choice. They can use this as an issue to attack the president and hope that he eventually backs down, leaving us with an expanded version of the inefficient, patchwork system we have today. Or, they can call his bluff, push for greater centralization and create a national program to guarantee, finally, health insurance to every American child. Both strategies are political winners. The only question is: which strategy will lead to more kids getting health care?

A $3 billion pay raise for Iraqis

According to the Washington Post, the cost of the war in Iraq now exceeds $3 billion a week. Amongst the multitude of other potential ways to use this money, imagine the following foreign policy alternative: pay every Iraqi resident seven times their average income.

Here’s the math: $3 billion divided by 27 million (Iraq’s population) is $111, per week. That’s $5,800 per year, seven times more than Iraq’s estimated per capita income of $800. Note that Iraq’s population and income estimates are very rough, considering the limited data and rapidly changing situation. Given the country’s stagnating economy, increasing death rate, and increasing out-migration, the population and income levels are likely lower. This means that the payoff could amount to even more than seven times per capita income.

A higher per capita income would likely decrease Iraqis’ desires to leave the country, help quell the anger and frustration that fuel violence, reduce poverty, and even generate the prosperity necessary to survive as a democracy.

Of course, the pundits might fear that just handing every Iraqi $111 a week would be an overly simplistic and politically unpopular policy, one that could spin out of control and lead to a whole new set of problems. (Not that such fears would deterthis White House…) As an alternative, the $3 billion could be transferred through more governable economic development programs: new public jobs, small business investments, food and health care credits, etc. Regardless, if our goal is to help build a more developed and democratic Iraq, could passing on funding for Iraq to Iraqis possibly do worse than the US government’s other strategies?

Marriage will not turn you into a housefrau, contrary to popular belief.

It should come as a surprise to no one that women bear more of the housekeeping burden than do the men with whom they share a bed. A new study from the Journal of Family Issues offers support for the conventional wisdom, but adds a new twist: married women report doing more household labor than do cohabiting women.

Feministing’s Jessica Valenti is “terrified” and “taken aback,” worrying that marriage somehow leads to an increased burden for wives. But,as Matt Yyglesias points out, she’s making a bad assumption here, as the study provides no evidence whatsoever to suggest that marriage actually causes (more) unequal divisions of labor.

First off, the study is a cross-sectional analysis, which means that it looks at people at one point in time. Given that the authors present a single snapshot of their respondents’ reported household duties, we’ve got no way of knowing whether there’s a causal link between wearing a wedding dress and pushing a broom around the kitchen. If we had before-and-after pictures of the same people, then we’d have something to work with since we’d be able to look at whether marriage fundamentally changed people’s housework burdens. But without this “before” period, all we’ve got is the “after.” And, as Matt implies, there are good reasons to believe that the “after” simply represents a selection effect — that is, couples who marry (as opposed to those who cohabit) are more likely to have “traditional” attitudes toward the gendered division of household labor.

Indeed, the study provides compelling reasons to believe that the difference between cohabiting and married women’s share of household labor stems from prior preferences. According to the authors’ analysis, married men and women are more likely than their cohabiting counterparts to hold “traditional” gender ideologies — e.g. more likely to agree that “A man’s job is to earn money; a woman’s job is to look after the home and family.” And, also unsurprisingly, the more traditional an individual’s gender ideology, the greater the burden of household labor borne by the female half of the couple. While it’s possible that gender ideologies change as a consequence of marriage, this seems like a stretch. More plausible is that, on average, folks who get married are simply a bit more conservative than cohabitors. Indeed, the same traditional attitudes that predict more housework for women may predict one’s likelihood of getting married (rather than living in sin). Of course, this is simply a hypothesis — to test it out would require before-and-after data of the sort I described above.

So: Jessica Valenti, fear not. Based on the newest data out there, you’ve got little reason to believe that marriage is going to turn you into a house-frau.

Progress

Amount that Bush administration says has been spent on Gulf Coast recovery since 2005 hurricanes: $116 billion

Estimated percent of those funds that are for long-term recovery projects: 30

Amount of FEMA’s 2005 disaster relief budget that was spent on administrative costs: $7 billion

Percent of the 2005 relief budget that represented: 22

Of $16.7 billion in Community Development Block Grants earmarked for long-term Gulf Coast rebuilding, percent that had been spent as of August 2007: 30

Of $8.4 billion allocated to the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers for levee repair in Louisiana, percent that had been spent as of July 2007: 20

Percent of rebuilding costs that Gulf Coast local governments were required to pay up front to receive matching federal funds, due to a Stafford Act provision that Congress has since waived for the region:25, later reduced by President Bush to 10

Percent that New York had to pay after 9/11 and Florida after Hurricane Andrew, because the federal government waived the Stafford Act’s matching requirement: 0

Amount of additional money for rebuilding now available since the match requirement was waived in the Gulf Coast: up to $1 billion

As of June 2007, value of controversial “cost plus” Katrina contracts given out by three federal agencies, which allows companies to charge taxpayers for cost overruns and guaranteed profits: $2.4 billion

As of August 2006, value of Gulf Coast contracts that a Congressional study found were “plagued by waste, fraud, abuse or mismanagement”:$8.75 billion

Against this backdrop, my answer to the question I’ve been asked repeatedly this week by folks from NY and Boston – if “progress” was “really” happening in New Orleans – obviously demands qualification.

An extended analysis after the jump.